Across the UK, as of Thursday, the 15th of October, 43,018 people have now passed away within 28 days of a positive test and 634,920 have tested positive with Coronavirus in the UK. With the UK having a population of 66.65 Million as of 2019, this means that 1 in 104 people in the UK have contracted confirmed cases of Coronavirus.
However, 80% of people in the UK are asymptomatic or mildly affected (WHO) – from test figures taken in on the 6th March 2020, which are the latest due to the Government not releasing more information on the matter, as the information is difficult to collect and correlate.
From this, I can estimate that 507,936 people (80% of 634,920) have contracted COVID-19 and have been asymptomatic or had very minor symptoms – and not taken a test. Including this with confirmed figures, this could take total cases to 1,142,856, as of the 15th October 2020. This means that:
• 1 in 58 people may have currently or has had Coronavirus.
Increasing the death figures with potential unconfirmed Coronavirus deaths would increase the death toll by 34,414. When added with the confirmed Coronavirus death toll of 43,018 means a total of 77,432 potential deaths as of the 15th October 2020.
• This means the 1 in 14.7 people with Coronavirus could die.
With 2770 students (as of 2019) on the Plymouth Marjon University Campus, means on average 47.7 people have contracted or will contract COVID-19 on campus currently from my estimations. This also means that 3 people on campus could potentially die from Coronavirus.
Official figures estimate that one in 160 people in England has Coronavirus, as of the 8th of October, according to the BBC.
Those three people could be people you know. How would you feel if that was your fault?
Don’t socialise inside your flat with people that aren’t from your household, wear a mask, wash your hands and stay safe – protect yourself and those around you.